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Home Office

Answer

Mr. Clappison: To ask the Secretary of State for the Home Department what estimate he has made of the change in demand for places within the juvenile estate over the next five years. [142594] Mr. Boateng: The Home Office publishes a long-term projection of the custodial population annually in February of each year. Projections are provided according to various alternative scenarios. For the February 2000 projection the middle variant projection assumes growth in the use of custody by courts but no change in the average sentence length. The higher variant projection assumes that custody rates and sentence lengths increase. Both variants include an assumption of an increase in the juvenile estate due to the introduction of the Detention and Training Order in April 2000. The projection made in February 2000 predicted the following numbers in the juvenile estate: _________________________________________________________________________________________________. Variant Middle Higher 1999 2,690 2,690 2000 3,000 3,020 2001 3,010 3,050 2002 2,990 3,040 2003 3,010 3,090 2004 3,000 3,100 2005 3,040 3,160 _________________________________________________________________________________________________. The increase observed in 2000 was due to the expected impact of the introduction of the Detention and Training Order in April 2000.

Secondary information

Type

Written question

Reference

359 c271-2W;359 c269-70W; 142594

Session

2000-01

Subjects

Custodial treatment Prisoners on remand Prison sentences Young offenders Prison accommodation Young offender institutions

Contains statistics

Yes

Link

View this Written question on www.publications.parliament.uk