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Written question asked by Lord Birt (Crossbench), in the House of Lords. It was answered by Lord Deighton (Conservative) on Thursday, 3 April 2014.


Debt

Question

To ask Her Majesty’s Government what was the average ratio of national debt to gross domestic product in the 30 years to 2007; in what year and at what level that ratio is forecast to peak; and what is their long-term target for reducing that ratio, and by what date.[HL6311]

Answer

Historical data on Public Sector Net Debt (PSND) is set out in Appendix A, tab psf9 of the latest public sector finances statistical bulletin, available on the Office of National Statistics website at:

http://www.ons.gov.uk/ons/publications/re-reference-tables.html?edition=tcm%.3A77-318927 and also seen in the Annex below. The average PSND in the 30 years to 2007-08 is 37.9 percent of GDP.

The independent Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) is responsible for producing the official economic and fiscal forecasts in the UK. In the latest March 2014 Economic and Fiscal outlook, PSND for each fiscal year in the forecast period can be found in Table 1.4 available at:

http://budgetresponsibility.org.uk/economic-fiscal-outlook-march-2014/ and also seen in the Annex below. The government has set a supplementary target for PSND as a percentage of GDP to be falling at a fix date of 2015-16. The OBR forecast that PSND as a percentage of GDP will be falling in 2016-17, a year later than set out in the target but one year earlier and 6.7 percentage points of GDP lower than in Budget 2013.

Annex PSND figures

PSND (% GDP)

1977-78

49.1

1978-79

47.2

1979-80

44.0

1980-81

46.1

1981-82

46.1

1982-83

44.8

1983-84

45.1

1984-85

45.1

1985-86

43.2

1986-87

40.9

1987-88

36.6

1988-89

30.4

1989-90

27.5

1990-91

26.0

1991-92

27.2

1992-93

31.4

1993-94

36.5

1994-95

40.1

Outturn

1995-96

41.9

1996-97

42.1

1997-98

40.9

1998-99

38.6

1999-00

35.7

2000-01

30.9

2001-02

30.4

2002-03

31.4

2003-04

32.9

2004-05

34.3

2005-06

35.4

2006-07

36.0

2007-08

36.8

2008-09

44.6

2009-10

56.4

2010-11

65.9

2011-12

70.9

2012-13

73.8

2013-14

74.5

2014-15

77.3

2015-16

78.7

Forecast

2016-17

78.3

2017-18

76.5

2018-19

74.2


Secondary information

Type
Written question
Reference
HL6311; 753 cc218-9WA
Session
2013-14
Subjects
National income Public sector debt
Contains statistics
Yes
Link
View this Written question on www.publications.parliament.uk