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Population Projections

Answer

The information requested falls within the responsibility of the National Statistician who has been asked to reply.Letter from Colin Mowl, dated 5 December 2006:"The National Statistician has been asked to reply to your question regarding what projections for the City of Newcastle upon Tyne for the years 2003 to 2010 are in use, on which years’ data each projection was based, and what the mid-year estimate of the population was in each year between 2003 and 2005. I am responding in her absence. (107334)""The Office for National Statistics produces subnational population projections for England approximately every two years. The current projections are 2004-based and were published on 12 October 2006. They start from the 2004 mid year estimate and project forward using local assumptions on births, deaths and migration derived from the five year reference period 1999 to 2004. They are consistent with the official 2004-based national population projections.""The previous set of projections were 2003-based. These were published in November 2004 and used assumptions derived from the reference period 1998 to 2003 to project forward the 2003 mid year estimate. Though these were superseded by the 2004-based projections they are still being used by some customers who haven’t yet incorporated the current set for timing reasons.""Table 1 shows the 2003-based and the 2004-based projected population for the City of Newcastle upon Tyne for the years 2003 to 2010. Table 2 shows the mid year estimate of the population in each year between 2003 and 2005."

Table 1: Subnational population projections for Newcastle-upon-Tyne
Thousand
	2003-based projection	2004-based projection
2003	267	—
2004	265	269
2005	265	272
2006	264	273
2007	263	274
2008	263	275
2009	262	276
2010	262	277
Source:
Office for National Statistics

Table 2: Population estimates for Newcastle-upon-Tyne
	Population (thousand)
2003	267
2004	269
2005	276
Note:
Population estimates for mid 2005 are the latest available estimates.
Source:
Office for National Statistics

Secondary information

Type

Written question

Reference

107334; 454 c402-3W;454 c403-4W

Session

2006-07

Subjects

Newcastle upon Tyne Population

Link

View this Written question on www.publications.parliament.uk