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Written question asked by James Clappison (Conservative) on Monday, 12 May 2008, in the House of Commons. It was due for an answer on Wednesday, 14 May 2008. It was answered by Phil Hope (Labour) on Monday, 19 May 2008 on behalf of the Chancellor of the Duchy of Lancaster.


Population

Question
To ask the Chancellor of the Duchy of Lancaster what projections of population density for (a) the UK, (b) England, (c) Scotland, (d) Wales and (e) Northern Ireland in 2056 and beyond have been made.
Answer

The information requested falls within the responsibility of the UK Statistics Authority. I have asked the Authority to reply.Letter from Karen Dunnell, dated May 2008:"As National Statistician, I have been asked to reply to your question asking what projections have been made of population density for (a) the UK, (b) England, (c) Scotland, (d) Wales and (e) Northern Ireland in 2056 and beyond. (205787)""Projected population densities can be calculated for any year from the published projected total population for that year and the area of the country. Projected densities for the year 2056, and country areas, are given in the table below.""National population projections are published for up to 75 years ahead and are available from the National Statistics website at:""http://www.statistics.gov.uk/statbase/Product.asp?vlnk=8519""However, long-term projections should be treated with great caution. Population projections become increasingly uncertain the further they are carried forward, and particularly so for smaller geographic areas."

Projected population density of UK and constituent countries in 2056
Projected population (million) Area (sq km) Density (persons/sq km)
United Kingdom 79 242,495 324
England 68 130,279 521
Wales 3 20,733 165
Scotland 5 77,907 67
Northern Ireland 2 13,576 53
Source: 2006-based national projections, ONS.

Secondary information

Type
Written question
Reference
476 c50-1W; 205787
Session
2007-08
Related items
Population
Monday, 2 June 2008
Written questions
House of Commons
Subjects
Population
Link
View this Written question on www.publications.parliament.uk