Skip to main content

Written question asked by Richard Holden (Conservative) on Thursday, 3 September 2026, in the House of Commons. It was due for an answer on Tuesday, 8 September 2026 (named day). It was answered by Michael Shanks (Labour) on Tuesday, 8 September 2026 on behalf of the Department for Energy Security and Net Zero.


UK Emissions Trading Scheme: Aviation

Question

To ask the Secretary of State for Energy Security and Net Zero, pursuant to the Answer of 15 July 2026 to Question 16609 on Aviation: UK Emissions Trading Scheme, if she will publish the (a) low, (b) central and (c) high scenarios modelled for the impact of UK ETS allowance prices on the cost of domestic flights between 2026 and 2050.

Answer

The Department has not published and has no current plans to publish estimates of the impact of UK Emissions Trading Scheme allowance prices on the cost of UK domestic flights between 2026 and 2050.

As set out in the answer previously provided to the hon. Member, the Department publishes traded carbon values for modelling purposes, which provide scenario-based projections of future carbon prices rather than forecasts. Owing to the uncertainty associated with long-term carbon price projections and emissions, any estimates of future impacts on air fares would be subject to significant uncertainty.


Secondary information

Type
Written question
Reference
27001
Session
2026-27
Related items
Aviation: Costs
Wednesday, 15 July 2026
Written questions
House of Commons
Subjects
Aviation Costs UK emissions trading scheme
Contains statistics
Yes
Link
View this Written question on www.parliament.uk