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Written question asked by Lord Green of Deddington (Crossbench) on Monday, 23 March 2015, in the House of Lords. It was due for an answer on Monday, 30 March 2015. It was answered by Lord Deighton (Conservative) on Thursday, 26 March 2015 on behalf of the Treasury.

Productivity

Question

To ask Her Majesty’s Government what is their assessment of the practical impact on United Kingdom productivity of net migration of 165,000 per year over the next five years.

Answer

The government does not forecast either UK GDP or GDP per capita. The independent OBR in the March 2015 Economic and Fiscal Outlook (EFO) used the central ONS migration population projection. The ONS central migration projection is for net migration of 165,000 a year in 2018/19 and 2019/20. In the March 2015 EFO the OBR forecast that UK GDP per capita for those aged 16 and over will increase by 9.2% total between 2014 and 2019.

In order to inform policy making, the government reviews and notes the wider evidence on the economic and productivity impacts of immigration on an ongoing basis. This evidence base includes the wider academic literature, and a range of reports commissioned or produced by the government looking at specific impacts, for example those produced by the independent Migration Advisory Committee. In addition, policies that influence migration are assessed using the government's impact assessment process which models the economic impact of the policy change using assumptions based on a range of evidence and the academic literature. Home Office Impact Assessments are published on gov.uk.

Secondary information

Type
Written question
Reference
HL5917
Session
2014-15
Grouped for answer
Yes
Subjects
Immigration Productivity
Contains statistics
Yes
Link
View this Written question on www.parliament.uk