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Written question asked by Lord Lamont of Lerwick (Conservative) on Tuesday, 4 February 2025, in the House of Lords. It was due for an answer on Tuesday, 18 February 2025. It was answered by Lord Livermore (Labour) on Monday, 17 February 2025 on behalf of the Treasury.


Brexit: National Income

Question

To ask His Majesty's Government, further to the remarks by Lord Livermore on 3 February (HL Deb cols 488–90), what is the statistical basis for stating that Brexit had reduced the gross domestic product of the United Kingdom by four per cent.

Answer

The statement was based on independent analysis by the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR). In 2020 the OBR forecast that GDP will be 4% lower than it would have been had the UK not withdrawn from the EU. The OBR noted that around two-fifths of the 4% impact had already occurred by the time the EU-UK Trade and Cooperation Agreement (TCA) came into force. The OBR publishes its findings as part of the Economic and Fiscal Outlook which can be found on its website.


Secondary information

Type
Written question
Reference
HL4697
Session
2024-26
Related items
Growing the UK Economy
Monday, 3 February 2025
Proceeding contributions
House of Lords
Subjects
National income Brexit
Contains statistics
Yes
Link
View this Written question on www.parliament.uk